The 100x Engineer
How will AI change things? What industries will get revolutionized? How will our lives change? What can we do to best prepare ourselves?
These are all the questions I try to answer in my book.
But today, I can give you a specific example. This might help one make sense of AI and the change that it is about to unleash.
At NonBioS, we are building an AI engineer. Our beta users agree that it works decently well. It demonstrates the capability of a Junior Software Engineer. With some guidance, it is able to write all the code they want. Very soon, they will prefer all their code be written by NonBioS.
But here's the part that'll blow your mind:
NonBioS isn't like any engineer you've worked with before.
It's asynchronous. It's autonomous.
You give it a task, and it just goes off, gets the job done, and comes back when it's finished.
Meanwhile, you can do something else – maybe fire up another NonBioS and give it a new task.
It sounds simple, but this brings up a bigger question our beta users are grappling with...
What do you do when NonBioS is working?
Coding used to be a hands-on exercise. Now it's "fire and forget." That's a small issue, though. Let's talk about the bigger one.
NonBioS is fast. Maybe 10x faster than any human at writing code.
So, very soon, one human engineer could deploy a fleet of 10 NonBioS Engineers. And each one will be working 10x faster than the human.
The result?
One human engineer can now do the work of 100 engineers.
This isn't some futuristic fantasy.
This is what our beta users, who've spent decades writing code, are seeing coming.
But here's the catch: the bottleneck is now the human.
Managing a fleet of NonBioS Engineers isn't easy. It requires serious cognitive effort.
Only the top engineers will be able to deploy and manage the NonBioS fleet productively.
They'll be the ones guiding, monitoring, making big-picture decisions, and aligning the work to the company's goals.
The average engineer won't be able to keep up. And that's the hard truth.
If your company has 100 engineers, you could replace all of them with a CTO managing a fleet of NonBioS engineers.
If you don't adapt, you're going to get replaced by someone who does.
It's just a matter of time.
This is the future which awaits us. Whether we're ready or not.